Wednesday, September 30, 2020
Monday, September 28, 2020
Next 3 month Temperature Outlook
The general idea that the next 3 months the outlook remains in the warmer than normal side. This is quite surprising to see especially that La Niña is in place and typically ushers in colder and wetter conditions but so far very un La Niña like in these outlooks.
Next 3-4 Week Temperature Out Look
The Climate Prediction Center forecasts that Warmth will persist through the end of October. Longer range Modes also show that in General November and December Could be Warmer than normal as well.
Drier Than Normal Pattern Continues 8-14 Days Out
Dry theme dominates the Precip scene over the next 2 weeks does not bode well for fall colors
Dry Pattern Persists Next 6-10 days
The Dry Pattern Looks to Persist for most of the Country. Looks continually dry into the later forecast period.
If Your Down About this Cold Weather A Warm Up is Looming
The longer range ECMWF The European Center for Medium Weather Forecast Model is showing a bit of Indian summer like warmth coming after the cold spell that starts with the last week of September and into the beginnings of October. Temperatures could rebound as much as 5-10 degrees in our area maybe more depending on how this warm dome sets up
Long String of 100s On The Way
The Phoenix area has yet to break out of the prolonged 100 degree spells Phoenix is closing in slowly on the all times record amount of 100 degree days in a calendar year
Small Area of Tropical Concern
A small section in the tropical Atlantic waters in the Caribbean is at a low risk of development. I believe this area will remain fairly low risk in developing into a tropical wave of some sort
Sunday, September 27, 2020
Wet Weather to Move Through Area Slowly
This Rain Area is the signal to the end of the Warmth more than likely this year temperatures showing below normal temperatures in a significant way to stick around for much of the beginning of October.
Saturday, September 26, 2020
Fall Has Not Fully Arrived Yet
Smoke filled higher altitudes block sun from boosting temps to late season 80+ degree levels. Enjoying The Fishing and Nature while warmth persists late into the season.
Monthly Longer Term Climate Outlook
The Outlook from The Climate Prediction Center has the majority of the country being dry and the country being warmer than normal.
Severe Weather Possible in Northland
The Northland of the upper Midwest is outlooked for severe weather. With the change in the seasons it is for the most part over with severe weather for the majority of the Great Lakes regions. There maybe a small flare up of severe weather in October but not much more after that.
Phoenix Still Counting the 100 Degree Days
These are not records but still seeing 100s in Phoenix adding to the yearly total
Friday, September 25, 2020
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